Look at the stats…
US now stands at 65,578 cases as of March 25. China has 81,667 cases.
16,069 difference, but China is only gaining marginally now, like 100 a day.
At this rate, the US could pass China this weekend, possibly Saturday, at barely more than 8,000 per day, which is well lower than the past few days!
However, Italy will likely be first.
At 74,386 cases as of March 25, or 7,281 short and gaining about 5,000 per day, Italy is certain to pass China Saturday.
The US may or may not pass China first, but the US will definitely win the race in the foreseeable future, unless COVID-19 hits hard some poor countries not able to deal with it from lacking resources rather than a bad attitude.
Good luck, USA! Start praying if you haven’t already.
Data from European Centre for Disease Control and the Johns Hopkins University website. The former has a little lag, collecting data at set European times that’s a bit early for North American reporting, rather than JHU that is live as data comes in. However, JHU doesn’t have data tables available for download to look at most recent daily new cases to project.