Polls for Will There Be More COVID-19 Deaths in 2021 than in 2020?

Oh, those grumpy fools who were constantly whining for most of 2020 for it to end because of the COVID-19 pandemic! What were they thinking, exactly, that 2021 was going to be better? Did they not realize that we would start the year in the middle of Wave 2 that was going to be worse than Wave 1? Or Wave 3, technically, if you were looking at the United States’ numbers. Did they not realize the days would be shorter and darker than when the pandemic really started in March, 2020? Did they not realize the vaccine wouldn’t be out that quickly in terms of everyone wanting one getting it? I don’t know what those people were thinking. I’m an optimistic realist, and that person didn’t see anything close to warranting that optimism. But let’s put that aside and take a good reality check right now.

 

Do you think there will be more COVID-19 deaths in 2021 than in 2020?

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Why Trump’s COVID-19 Diagnosis Could Be His Own Fake News

It’s so sad that the first thought I had when I heard of Donald Trump’s COVID-19 diagnosis was that it was a convenient lie to bolster many of his agendas, his own “fake news”, if you will. What’s sadder, though, is that we have not only someone willing and capable of doing this, but that someone is leading the United States of America. Furthermore, what’s saddest is that it is to try and usurp one of our most cherished institutions – democracy.

So what has the farting Trumpeter got to gain by faking a COVID-19 diagnosis? Let me count the ways:

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Impact of Breathing Your Own Air When Wearing COVID-19 Mask, an Experiment Showing

Important: This is NOT an anti-masking post. It is a scientific experiment to show facts regarding what a COVID-19 mask wearer might have to deal with in partly breathing their own breath back in with every breath, so the wearer can be informed and decide when they would want to do it and not within the law, not against the law. The decision is not to obey or disobey the law, but rather to obey the law and do something requiring mask wearing, or abstain from it because the impact isn’t worth the activity. For example, go shopping in a mall with a mask (required where I am), or not and do online shopping or window shopping from the street, NOT go shopping in a mall without a mask.

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An Interactive Analysis Suite for Google COVID-19 Mobility Data

I recently completed an interactive analysis suite for Google’s COVID-19 mobility data, to let me (and others) do all kinds of comparisons one simply cannot get close to with those static Google mobility data reports! Unfortunately, you will have to go to the Tableau public site, the platform on which I built it, to see and use it because I cannot embed webpages with JavaScript in the WordPress platform this blog is built on.

The Tableau “viz” analysis suite lets you do things like compare for any time period for which Google gave daily data, and even between two time periods. You can also compare any number of countries, regions, even US counties, with data filters. You can compare habits over the days of the week, or see what mobility behaviors people changed (or didn’t, on individual days in a range days). There are “fair expectations” set for each metric based on average to slightly above performance shown to be attainable over a 6 week period, to give further context to the numbers. There is a population filter to compare countries in select ranges of populations. Finally, there are ranks so you don’t have to memorize any numbers in comparing performance in different places and/or over different times. Lots of stuff you can do all kinds of analytics with, draw conclusions about (though be careful on assumptions), and such!

The Tableau viz will be updated roughly once a week, when Google puts out the latest data set. It doesn’t seem they’ll be too consistent with when they do that, but only varying between Thursday and Friday so far. In that Tableau viz is:

  • A table of content tab (at top of view) outlining what is in each tab;
  • A map of the world showing how countries compare for each of the 6 metrics;
  • Continental maps showing regional breakdowns in each country on the continent (where there is data);
  • Even a US county breakdown map;
  • Graphs showing ranks of countries and regions (US counties were too spotty with incomplete data for me to care and give it its own comparison dashboard);
  • Graphs showing select regions against others, allowing comparisons between countries and smaller regions like states and provinces, for example;
  • Graphs showing results over time;
  • Bundled sets of charts in logical order to produce what would be a good briefing report, without text that someone could write for their region/s if they wanted to; and
  • Lots more!

Please click on the link if you want to test out the analytical suite I built. It’s free! No ads or anything! 🙂

Thanks!

USA WILL Have MORE COVID-19 Cases than Rest of the World Combined One Day

The US flew past 100,000 COVID-19 cases today, just a day after passing China’s total of about 81,000. It’s at 104,000 as I write this.

With world totals at 596,000 cases at this time, the US has 17.4% of the world’s cases, and the US has barely started climbing “the curve” that won’t be flattening any time soon!

To have more than the rest of the world, the US needs to hit 50.01% of world totals. That doesn’t seem a stretch, to be honest, the way the US rates are climbing and knowing how they are still far behind in testing all the people they should.

The math isn’t that hard to see. One day soon enough, the US WILL have more COVID-19 cases than the rest of the world combined.

It’s just a matter of when… not if, very sadly.