I got 10 of 15 right last week. Not bad as it was 1 better than the Vegas odds gave and better than most of the ESPN expert picks.
Here are my Week 5 picks.
picks
NFL Picks Week 4, 2015 Season
Last week was a nice bounce back from the disastrous week 2 that most people would have had. I went 13-3 to stand at 32 correct for the season. That’d be 1 behind the lead among the ESPN analysts, who are only ahead of me due to remarkable weekly scores they had last week, which wouldn’t be typical of their past performance.
This week there are a handful of tough games to pick but I’m confident I’ll do well.
2015 Season NFL Picks Week 3
OK. Last week was a slight disaster in terms of absolute results. Only got 7 of 16 games right. However, it’s not like the analysts at ESPN did better. I’m still tied with Tom Jackson in the lead at 19 rights and 13 wrongs overall. Best strategy last week would have been just to bet straight up home teams cause 10 of the 16 home teams won. That was better than anybody in my pool and anybody at ESPN.
NFL Week 2 Picks – 2015 Season
Last week, I went 12 right and 4 wrong for straight up winner picks. That was tied with the best ESPN analysts. My data model would have had 14 but me and my stupid instincts overrode two choices. Here are this week’s picks, with only one override, Peyton Manning and the Broncos over KC tonight.
NFL Picks, Week 1 – 2015 Season
For the first time, I will be sharing my weekly NFL game picks that I will be submitting in my office pool, putting my reputation as an analyst on the line.
I will be using an analytical system I developed based on spreads provided by Las Vegas, and how well they tend to do when they provide certain spreads. I added a few other factors to lean my pick one way or another where the odds makers are about even in their performance. I developed this system last year and got 178 games of 256 correct. That was 10.4 per week on average, a 69% correct rate that was as good as the odds makers, and better than all the ESPN analysts.
Digital Citizen 