A Case for More Gun Control Using Gun Lobbyist Data

I owe this post to a pro-gun friend who debated me on more gun control. His arguments and stats used, including the graph below, led me to do the degree of research I did to counter, which I used here. I didn’t convince him, which I didn’t expect to, but you can judge for yourself from what I present following. I thought it might be valuable for people to understand the flaws in many anti-gun control, if not pro-gun, arguments presented, coming from someone who does analysis of all sorts for a living.

I was shown the graph below with data showing why tighter gun control was not the solution to America’s gun problem with gun related deaths and incidents. What I, as a professional analyst, saw, instead, was the very reasons why America needs tighter gun control. I will also counter a bunch of other points brought up by gun lobbyists that doesn’t involve data, because it isn’t just about the data, of course. But let’s first look at one graph with lots of data.

US Firearms, Deaths and Population Trends

US Firearms, Deaths and Population Trends

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Hosni Mubarak Has More Wealth than Bill Gates, and Enough to Feed Egypt for 1-2 Years!

Egyptian Dictator Hosni Mubarak

The wealth of Hosni Mubarak has been estimated to be somewhere between $40-70 Billion! That’s Billions, not millions. (CBC, via MSNBC)

That’s an unbelievable number! I mean, I knew the guy wasn’t poor, but having that many billions???

Billions is a big of a difficult number to comprehend besides the actual number, so here is some context as to how much wealth that is.

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Obama’s Barackets Beating 96.5% of over 4.5 Million Brackets on ESPN 2010 March Madness Challenge After Round 1

President Barack Obama

Please click here to see President Obama’s 2010 Barackets, and get analysis after Round 2

After Round 1 of the 2010 NCAA March Madness Tournament, President Barack Obama’s ESPN Barackets is beating 96.5% of over 4.5 million entries!

See Obama’s 2010 March Madness Brackets here.

See Obama’s rationale in his picks via the ESPN video here.

Obama got 25 of 32 games correct for 250 points since each game in this round was worth 10 points. Three top entries were tied at a remarkable 310 points or 31 of 32 correct! There is no rewards for upsets in the ESPN system so these brackets encouraged going with the favourites rather than picking upsets. That left the President at a rank of 160,151 or sitting in the 96.6th percentile. That means he is ahead of 96.5% of the entries of over 4.5 million entries!

An analogy for that statistic would be the Prez is beating 29 out of every 30 entrants, sitting in 2nd place in such a sample. With over 4.5 million entries, that’s far more than a big enough sample to safely declare the President ahead of 96.5% of all bracket entries out there. He knew his basketball in Round 1, unlike last year when he admitted he got killed in the early rounds.

However, Obama could be in a lot of trouble for the next rounds, each of which is also worth 320 points.

That’s because Obama has already lost one of his Elite Eight teams in Georgetown. That’s 40 points he won’t be getting in that round for sure. I wonder if that were a political pick because Georgetown is, of course, in Washington DC. There weren’t too many Chicago or Illinois teams that stood much of a chance this year to go far.

Obama has also already lost two of his Sweet Sixteen teams with Georgetown and Marquette. That’s another 40 points he won’t be getting in that round.

ESPN lists Obama’s potential points remaining (PPR) at 1,520 after Round 1.

Of course, other people will have likely lost some of those teams already as well. The fact most of them lost more teams this first round only suggest they have a greater chance of losing more teams in the later rounds already than Obama. However, that’s not necessarily true.

My ESPN brackets are sitting at 210 points, or 2,978,307 or ahead of a very lousy 37.6 percent of the entries. Basically, I’m in 6th place out of every 8 people! OUCH! Yet, because I haven’t lost any Elite Eight teams, and the same Georgetown pick as Obama for the Sweet Sixteen, my potential points remaining is 1,580. That could make up the 40 points different the President has on me after Round 1. So despite being over 2.8 million spots back of da Prez right now, I could still end up putting the slamma jamma on Obama!

All that said, the President is doing relatively well among ESPN’s featured brackets.

Obama is first among them after Round 1. In fact, he’s cleaning house… including dunking on LeBron James!

I guess in America, it’s da Prez that rules, not the King. They got rid of him a long time ago! 🙂

You can look at each featured bracket’s potential points remaining if you’d like by clicking on the links above.

How are you doing after the first round if you played? How many games did you get right?

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Flesch-Kincaid Grade Reading Level: 5.8

Ideas Are Like Rabbits and Other Great Quotes

quotes

“Ideas are like rabbits. You get a couple and learn how to handle them,
and pretty soon you have a dozen of them.”

– John Steinbeck

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The only way to entertain some folks is to listen to them.
– Frank (Kin) Hubbard

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“Success is a lousy teacher. It seduces smart people into thinking they can’t lose.”
– Bill Gates

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“If you want your children to turn out well,
spend twice as much time with them as you think you should and half the amount of money.”

– Esther Selsdon

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“Quality means doing it right when no one is looking.”
– Henry Ford

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Any quotes you’d like to share?

Please leave them as a comment. Thank you.

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You Have to Change the Way That People See Themselves Before You Can Change Their Behaviour

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Bill Strickland, social innovator

Bill Strickland, social innovator

Short post because there’s a 35 minute video from TED.com called Rebuilding America: One Slide Show at a Time, which I wanted to share. It is a very beautiful and inspiring talk, with some very funny moments, by social innovator Bill Strickland. He is gently accompanied by Herbie Hancock on piano. The talk is about Bill’s work and incredible journey from an at-risk youth to 1996 MacArthur “Genius” grant recipient from what he has done for other people, especially in Pittsburgh’s inner city neighbourhoods. It shares his breadth of vision, his amazing social networking skills and, most importantly, the life philosophies that got him here.

There are lots about how he lives life, views society and treats people, like the headline of this post.

You have to change the way that people see themselves before you can change their behaviour.

Take note, self, and all government policy makers and regulators, whose job it is to try and change people’s behaviour en masse.

The talk and stories within are all presented at a very “street level”, no nonsense involved, straight to the point, but so eye and heart opening, touching and warming from the differences he has made in the lives of people and they in his.

Enjoy!