This isn’t the first research to show this, but perhaps the latest. Your chances at success in professional life, whether in start-ups or science, or otherwise, is proportional to the number of attempts you put in. That is, the rate is pretty much constant.
What’s not constant is your productivity. As you age, you attempt things less often, like starting new businesses, publishing papers from experiments, etc. If you try less often, given the same rate of success, it’s no wonder it seems you have more breakthroughs and big successes as you age. However, if you could only get yourself back to the same level of productivity you had once, your rates of success will be back to where it used to be!
Listen to the TEDTalk Daily podcast in the tweet below for more specifics. Also note that performance is something measurable. Success, on the other hand, is defined by us. Without us, or if we change what we deem to be success, everything associated with success can change.
Congrats to the Duke Blue Devils on winning the 2015 NCAA March Madness Men’s Basketball Tournament.
Every year since President Obama has been in office, he has put in an NCAA March Madness Men’s Basketball Tournament bracket, lovingly known as the Barackets. He has met with mixed success, but this year, his Barackets was a total stinker! I’ve blogged the POTUS’ Barackets performance every year per weekend of the tournament, but I was away for it all this year until now, for which I can only file a final report.
There’s still one game left before the 2014 NCAA March Madness Final Four, and President Obama’s Barackets is already done! With Michigan State going out to the Cinderella-ish UConn Huskies, da Prez’s Barackets has no potential points left. He still has Florida in place, but he had Michigan State beating them in the national semi-finals so he has no points left.
It now only remains to be seen how many behind him still have some teams left who can get points. After the Michigan state game, the President is still ahead of 74.7% of entries on ESPN’s Tournament Challenge. That lead is the only thing the President still has going for him to salvage some sort of decent final placement, which he may still get depending on who wins from now on. Only 0.4% of brackets had UConn getting more points, 5.7% had Wisconsin, 2.1% had Kentucky, but 15.4% still has Michigan to get more points, and 41.1% still has Florida to get more points. So the President can still finish respectfully, to completely tank!
President Obama’s Barackets
My ESPN Brackets
I’m in not much better shape with only Florida remaining. However, I am ahead of the President… and I have Florida to win it all so if they do, I can really smoke the President, and many others. Unfortunately, UConn was the last team who beat Florida so that should be some rematch! UConn is playing better than they did then, and it only remains to be seen if Florida has improved as much. Mathematically, though, I have beaten the President and that is 5/6 years now. 🙂
I am currently ahead of 87.7% of brackets on ESPN. But by having Florida, if you look at the math above of teams remaining still able to get points, take out the Florida part and I’m going to finish at least at a respectable level. Yay!