Americans Will Be Stunned at their COVID-19 Numbers Soon! (An Educated Estimate)

So will the rest of the world unless you’ve been piecing things together.

Next to no testing for weeks with sufficient number of cases going around, from government direction to a health care system that doesn’t incentivize doing so.

People can spread for 5 days without having any symptoms, never mind once they do and still don’t get tested.

People ignoring social distancing and actually bragging about it! Though they’re not ignoring stocking up on toilet paper, apparently, and bragging about it, too! Typical American bravado of we’re better, can’t happen to us, or at least me, we got it covered, etc. We’ll see about that, one way or the other.

So how much will be the shock? My best guess from learning about the DOTS model for spread, with parameters for COVID-19, is it’s going to easily outnumber China’s peak by summer, if not sooner, pending how much testing will actually be done. It’s easy to say you don’t have a lot of cases, and be “honest” about it, if you don’t test to know… kind of like now.

But please do NOT spread like fear mongering rumour. I’m not claiming to be an expert. I just believe I have enough to know to put out a plausible guess, to see if that self-assessment is correct, or incorrect, and to what extent.

So this is “for the record” to look back upon.

Definition: Meeting Recovery Syndrome

Meeting Recovery Syndrome

The effect a bad meeting has on you that negatively impacts your mood, thoughts, well-being, and/or productivity.

 

All jokes aside on the term and name, this is a very real phenomenon, which is why you should learn to think about, be aware of, and use this term!

 

From a great Freakonomics podcast…

Introversion / Extraversion Assessment from Scientific American on Excel

introversion extraversion assessmentOn June 9th, 2014, the Scientific American blog Beautiful Minds had a rather in-depth article called Will the Real Introverts Please Stand Up? about what introversion really meant (and extraversion as the opposite). The term is still highly misunderstood, whether from generic social definitions, or more precise and complex definitions through the works of Myers-Briggs and others following.

In the Beautiful Minds article, they had a 20 question quiz written out. Some score adjustments were then required after you answered, followed by averaging your newly adjusted scores, and averaging two halves of your score if you wanted more information. In this post with an Excel spreadsheet attachment below, I have made this test a lot easier to take. You just answer the questions and flip through the process to see your results! There is a minor summary of your results, but you’d then go back to the original article linked above for the full details.

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